Today / Peru - Segunda División / Sport Huancayo 2 vs Deportivo Binacional

Sport Huancayo 2 vs Deportivo Binacional Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 17 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

Sport Huancayo 2

PPG 2.14 · HOME

LAST 5

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7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Deportivo Binacional

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

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// Model verdict

Home 77% chance

xG gap +2.18 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-12.1%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.5%1-15.5%1-21.3%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.3%2-17.4%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.6%3-16.5%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-017.2%4+-18.3%4+-22.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.6% — — —

Draw 15.7% — — —

Away win 7.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 14.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -28.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.3%

#2 3–0 13.6%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 4–0 9.0%

#5 1–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sport Huancayo 22.7

Deportivo Binacional0.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORT HUANCAYO 2 · PPG 2.14

DEPORTIVO BINACIONAL · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

77%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.18 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sport Huancayo 2 (H) 76.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Binacional (A) 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sport Huancayo 2 face Deportivo Binacional in Peru - Segunda División on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sport Huancayo 2 a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Deportivo Binacional 8%, so Sport Huancayo 2 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Sport Huancayo 2 and 0.5 for Deportivo Binacional (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sport Huancayo 2 are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.67 for Deportivo Binacional. This match finished 7-0.

Sport Huancayo 2 vs Deportivo Binacional Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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