Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Yeni Mersin IY vs Kirklarelispor

Yeni Mersin IY vs Kirklarelispor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Yeni Mersin IY

PPG 0.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kirklarelispor

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.56), Away POOR (0.63)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-19.4%0-210.2%0-37.4%0-4+6.7%1 1-04.1%1-19.1%1-29.9%1-37.2%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.0%2-14.4%2-24.8%2-33.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-00.6%3-11.4%3-21.5%3-31.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.5% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 65.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.9% — — —

Over 3.5 38.6% — — —

BTTS 54.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob54.9%

A 65% / xG 1.0-2.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.2%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–1 9.4%

#4 1–1 9.1%

#5 0–3 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yeni Mersin IY1.0

Kirklarelispor2.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

YENI MERSIN IY · PPG 0.56

KIRKLARELISPOR · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.56), Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Yeni Mersin IY (H) 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kirklarelispor (A) 65.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yeni Mersin IY face Kirklarelispor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yeni Mersin IY a 16% chance, the draw 19% and Kirklarelispor 65%, so Kirklarelispor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Yeni Mersin IY and 2.2 for Kirklarelispor (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yeni Mersin IY are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 0.63 for Kirklarelispor.

Yeni Mersin IY vs Kirklarelispor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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