Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Y. Malatyaspor vs Aksaray B.

Y. Malatyaspor vs Aksaray B. Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Y. Malatyaspor

PPG 0.06 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aksaray B.

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.13) vs Home POOR (0.06)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-110.2%0-216.7%0-318.1%0-4+33.5%1 1-00.6%1-12.1%1-23.4%1-33.7%1-4+6.8%2 2-00.1%2-10.2%2-20.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 1.0% — — —

Draw 5.6% — — —

Away win 93.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 17.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 80%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.2 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob17.7%

A 94% / xG 0.2-3.3 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 18.1%

#2 0–2 16.7%

#3 0–4 14.7%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 0–5 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Y. Malatyaspor0.2

Aksaray B.3.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

Y. MALATYASPOR · PPG 0.06

AKSARAY B. · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.13) vs Home POOR (0.06)

Win probability 1X2

Y. Malatyaspor (H) 1.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 5.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aksaray B. (A) 93.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Y. Malatyaspor face Aksaray B. in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Y. Malatyaspor a 1% chance, the draw 6% and Aksaray B. 94%, so Aksaray B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.2 for Y. Malatyaspor and 3.3 for Aksaray B. (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 18% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Y. Malatyaspor are averaging 0.06 points per game versus 1.13 for Aksaray B..

Y. Malatyaspor vs Aksaray B. Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

More Turkey - 2. Lig Predictions