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Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Santos U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 14 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

Portuguesa Santista U20

PPG 2.40 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Santos U20

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Away 66% chance

xG gap -1.23 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-113.2%0-212.9%0-38.5%0-4+6.5%1 1-04.9%1-19.7%1-29.5%1-36.3%1-4+4.8%2 2-01.8%2-13.6%2-23.5%2-32.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-20.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 65.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 33.0% — — —

BTTS 51.4% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 58.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 135 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -41.3%

Bet Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.9%

#2 0–1✓ 13.2%

#3 1–1 9.7%

#4 1–2 9.5%

#5 0–3 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portuguesa Santista U200.7

Santos U202.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTUGUESA SANTISTA U20 · PPG 2.40

SANTOS U20 · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

DANGER

xG gap -1.23 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Portuguesa Santista U20 (H) 13.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santos U20 (A) 65.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Portuguesa Santista U20 face Santos U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portuguesa Santista U20 a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Santos U20 66%, so Santos U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Portuguesa Santista U20 and 2.0 for Santos U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portuguesa Santista U20 are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.60 for Santos U20. This match finished 0-1.

Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Santos U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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