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XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 14 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

XV de Piracicaba U20

PPG 1.83 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWDD

UPCOMING

Ibrachina U20

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-116.3%0-28.9%0-33.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.1%1-113.2%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.9%2-15.4%2-22.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.3%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% 24.4% 4.10 +24.2%

Draw 31.8% 28.6% 3.50 +11.3%

Away win 38.0% 58.8% 1.70 -35.4%

Over 2.5 38.8% 50.0% 2.00 -22.4%

Over 3.5 19.5% 31.8% 3.14 -23.3%

BTTS 48.0% 55.9% 1.79 -14.1%

Home O1.5 30.8% 30.5% 3.28 +1.0%

Away O1.5 33.0% 55.2% 1.81 -40.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.0%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.3%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

XV de Piracicaba U200.8

Ibrachina U201.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

XV DE PIRACICABA U20 · PPG 1.83

IBRACHINA U20 · PPG 2.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 1.90 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

XV de Piracicaba U20 (H) 30.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +24.2%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +11.3%

Ibrachina U20 (A) 38.0%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -35.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

XV de Piracicaba U20 face Ibrachina U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives XV de Piracicaba U20 a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Ibrachina U20 38%, so Ibrachina U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for XV de Piracicaba U20 and 1.1 for Ibrachina U20 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, XV de Piracicaba U20 are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.50 for Ibrachina U20. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +1.0%.

XV de Piracicaba U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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