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SC Paulinense SP U20 vs Novorizontino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 14 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

SC Paulinense SP U20

PPG 2.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Novorizontino U20

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-113.9%0-25.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.7%1-113.4%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.5%2-16.4%2-22.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.4%3-12.0%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.1% — — —

Draw 32.5% — — —

Away win 30.4% — — —

Over 2.5 40.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.9% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 24.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 135 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -41.3%

Bet Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 1–0 15.7%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 0–1 13.9%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Paulinense SP U201.0

Novorizontino U200.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SC PAULINENSE SP U20 · PPG 2.17

NOVORIZONTINO U20 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.11, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SC Paulinense SP U20 (H) 37.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Novorizontino U20 (A) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Paulinense SP U20 face Novorizontino U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Paulinense SP U20 a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Novorizontino U20 30%, so SC Paulinense SP U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for SC Paulinense SP U20 and 0.8 for Novorizontino U20 (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Paulinense SP U20 are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.50 for Novorizontino U20. This match finished 1-4.

SC Paulinense SP U20 vs Novorizontino U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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