Today / Denmark - 2. Division / B 93 vs Naestved

B 93 vs Naestved Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Matchday 6 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:00

B 93

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWD

UPCOMING

Naestved

PPG 1.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.5% vs bookmaker-implied 64.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.3%0-26.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.1%1-111.7%1-28.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.3%2-26.0%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.7%3-13.9%3-22.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 48.1% 2.08 -20.8%

Draw 24.7% 29.6% 3.38 -9.9%

Away win 37.1% 33.4% 2.99 +10.9%

Over 2.5 53.8% 59.2% 1.69 -9.1%

Over 3.5 33.3% 37.6% 2.66 -11.4%

BTTS 57.5% 64.1% 1.56 -10.3%

Home O1.5 39.9% 51.5% 1.94 -22.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 41.2% 2.43 +2.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.5%

H 38% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.5%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B 931.4

Naestved1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

B 93 · PPG 1.50

NAESTVED · PPG 1.99

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

B 93 (H) 38.1%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -20.8%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.38 · IMPLIED 29.6% EV -9.9%

Naestved (A) 37.1%

ODDS 2.99 · IMPLIED 33.4% EV +10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

B 93 face Naestved in Denmark - 2. Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B 93 a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Naestved 37%, so B 93 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for B 93 and 1.4 for Naestved (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B 93 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.99 for Naestved. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +8.0%.

B 93 vs Naestved Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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