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Skive vs Fremad Amager Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:00

Skive

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fremad Amager

PPG 1.16 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-16.8%0-23.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.2%1-111.4%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.6%2-19.6%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.8%3-15.4%3-23.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% 42.9% 2.33 +14.2%

Draw 24.7% 32.8% 3.05 -14.8%

Away win 26.2% 33.3% 3.00 -12.8%

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 20%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.5%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skive1.7

Fremad Amager1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SKIVE · PPG 0.88

FREMAD AMAGER · PPG 1.16

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Skive (H) 49.0%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +14.2%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -14.8%

Fremad Amager (A) 26.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -12.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skive face Fremad Amager in Denmark - 2. Division on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skive a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Fremad Amager 26%, so Skive are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Skive and 1.1 for Fremad Amager (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skive are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.16 for Fremad Amager.

Skive vs Fremad Amager Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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