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Fremad Amager vs Roskilde Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:00

Fremad Amager

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Roskilde

PPG 1.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-19.4%0-26.0%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.8%1-112.5%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.5%2-18.3%2-25.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.9%3-13.7%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% 38.2% 2.62 +1.7%

Draw 26.0% 32.3% 3.10 -11.6%

Away win 35.2% 43.5% 2.30 -19.0%

Over 2.5 53.9% 57.1% 1.75 -5.7%

Over 3.5 31.4% 36.4% 2.75 -13.7%

BTTS 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

Home O1.5 37.8% 44.4% 2.25 -14.9%

Away O1.5 37.3% 47.6% 2.10 -21.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

H 39% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.5%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–0 9.8%

#4 1–2 8.0%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fremad Amager1.3

Roskilde1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FREMAD AMAGER · PPG 1.70

ROSKILDE · PPG 1.72

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fremad Amager (H) 38.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +1.7%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.6%

Roskilde (A) 35.2%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -19.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fremad Amager face Roskilde in Denmark - 2. Division on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fremad Amager a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Roskilde 35%, so Fremad Amager are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Fremad Amager and 1.3 for Roskilde (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fremad Amager are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.72 for Roskilde. This match finished 1-1.

Fremad Amager vs Roskilde Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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