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Lanus vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Apertura · Matchday 16 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 22:15

Lanus

PPG 1.83 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Central Cordoba

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLD

// Model verdict

Home 73% chance

Model probability 86.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a clear edge.

+29.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-11.7%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.3%1-14.5%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.8%2-16.2%2-21.1%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.3%3-15.6%3-21.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-020.2%4+-17.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 86.5% 66.7% 1.50 +29.8%

Draw 10.3% 26.3% 3.80 -60.9%

Away win 3.1% 14.1% 7.10 -78.0%

Over 2.5 59.8% 43.5% 2.30 +37.5%

Over 3.5 37.5% 23.1% 4.33 +62.4%

BTTS 28.8% 42.0% 2.38 -31.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 137 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob28.8%

H 86% / xG 2.7-0.4 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.8%

#2 3–0 15.3%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 4–0 10.4%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lanus2.7

Central Cordoba0.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LANUS · PPG 1.83

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 0.29

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

Chance this pick lands

73%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.83), Away POOR (0.29) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Lanus (H) 86.5%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV +29.8%

Draw 10.3%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -60.9%

Central Cordoba (A) 3.1%

ODDS 7.10 · IMPLIED 14.1% EV -78.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lanus face Central Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lanus a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Central Cordoba 3%, so Lanus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Lanus and 0.4 for Central Cordoba (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lanus are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.29 for Central Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +62.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Lanus vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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