Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland / Landvetter IS vs Kongahälla

Landvetter IS vs Kongahälla Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 20 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:00

Landvetter IS

PPG 2.70 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLW

UPCOMING

Kongahälla

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-12.9%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.9%1-17.0%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.3%2-18.2%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.1%3-16.5%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-012.6%4+-16.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.3% 69.4% 1.44 -3.1%

Draw 18.9% 22.7% 4.40 -10.1%

Away win 13.8% 17.9% 5.60 -13.6%

Over 2.5 57.9% 72.5% 1.38 -20.1%

Over 3.5 35.4% 51.3% 1.95 -31.0%

BTTS 48.0% 69.0% 1.45 -30.4%

Home O1.5 66.3% 74.1% 1.35 -10.5%

Away O1.5 14.0% 36.4% 2.75 -36.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.0%

H 67% / xG 2.4-0.5 / O2.5 58% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.3%

#2 3–0 12.1%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 1–1 7.0%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landvetter IS2.4

Kongahälla0.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDVETTER IS · PPG 2.70

KONGAHÄLLA · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.83 for Home, form 2.70 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Landvetter IS (H) 67.3%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -3.1%

Draw 18.9%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -10.1%

Kongahälla (A) 13.8%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landvetter IS face Kongahälla in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landvetter IS a 67% chance, the draw 19% and Kongahälla 14%, so Landvetter IS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Landvetter IS and 0.5 for Kongahälla (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landvetter IS are averaging 2.70 points per game versus 0.67 for Kongahälla.

Landvetter IS vs Kongahälla Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Predictions