Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland / Qviding FIF vs Torslanda

Qviding FIF vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:00

Qviding FIF

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWL

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Torslanda

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.8%0-24.4%0-32.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.8%1-18.7%1-27.9%1-34.8%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.6%3-14.8%3-24.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.3%4+-23.0%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 46.5% 2.15 -19.2%

Draw 21.7% 26.0% 3.85 -9.9%

Away win 40.7% 37.7% 2.65 +7.8%

Over 2.5 67.1% 74.1% 1.35 -9.4%

Over 3.5 43.5% 54.1% 1.85 -19.5%

BTTS 63.2% 76.9% 1.30 -17.8%

Home O1.5 49.8% 62.5% 1.60 -20.3%

Away O1.5 49.5% 55.6% 1.80 -10.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.2%

A 41% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qviding FIF1.8

Torslanda1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

QVIDING FIF · PPG 1.38

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Qviding FIF (H) 37.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -19.2%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -9.9%

Torslanda (A) 40.7%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qviding FIF face Torslanda in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qviding FIF a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Torslanda 41%, so Torslanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Qviding FIF and 1.8 for Torslanda (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qviding FIF are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.38 for Torslanda. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.0%. This match finished 4-1.

Qviding FIF vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Predictions