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Onsala vs Lindome Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:00

Onsala

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLL

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lindome

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.1%0-25.9%0-33.3%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.3%1-110.5%1-28.8%1-35.0%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-17.8%2-26.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.3%3-13.9%3-23.3%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.0%4+-21.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 54.9% 1.82 -36.9%

Draw 24.1% 26.3% 3.80 -5.1%

Away win 41.3% 32.8% 3.05 +26.0%

Over 2.5 59.7% 79.4% 1.26 -24.8%

Over 3.5 36.6% 59.5% 1.68 -38.5%

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.3%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 0–2 5.9%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Onsala1.5

Lindome1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ONSALA · PPG 1.25

LINDOME · PPG 2.12

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Onsala (H) 34.7%

ODDS 1.82 · IMPLIED 54.9% EV -36.9%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.1%

Lindome (A) 41.3%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Onsala face Lindome in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Onsala a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Lindome 41%, so Lindome are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Onsala and 1.7 for Lindome (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Onsala are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.12 for Lindome. This match finished 1-4.

Onsala vs Lindome Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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