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Onsala vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

Onsala

PPG 1.11 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dalstorps

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.9%0-26.8%0-33.9%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.3%1-110.8%1-29.2%1-35.3%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.3%2-26.3%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.9%3-13.3%3-22.8%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% 44.4% 2.25 -28.7%

Draw 23.5% 27.4% 3.65 -8.5%

Away win 44.8% 37.7% 2.65 +18.7%

Over 2.5 62.0% 69.0% 1.45 -10.1%

Over 3.5 39.3% 46.5% 2.15 -15.5%

BTTS 60.8% 72.5% 1.38 -16.1%

Home O1.5 38.0% 57.1% 1.75 -33.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 51.8% 1.93 -7.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.8%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 0–2✓ 6.8%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Onsala1.4

Dalstorps1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ONSALA · PPG 1.11

DALSTORPS · PPG 1.50

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Onsala (H) 31.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -28.7%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -8.5%

Dalstorps (A) 44.8%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +18.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Onsala face Dalstorps in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Onsala a 32% chance, the draw 24% and Dalstorps 45%, so Dalstorps are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Onsala and 1.7 for Dalstorps (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Onsala are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.50 for Dalstorps. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +8.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Onsala vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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