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Västra Frölunda vs Landvetter IS Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:00

Västra Frölunda

PPG 1.78 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Landvetter IS

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.9%0-27.5%0-34.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.8%1-111.3%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.2%2-17.1%2-25.9%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.8%3-13.0%3-22.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.5% 40.8% 2.45 -16.6%

Draw 24.6% 27.4% 3.65 -6.1%

Away win 46.0% 43.1% 2.32 +6.7%

Over 2.5 59.7% 71.9% 1.39 -17.0%

Over 3.5 36.6% 48.3% 2.07 -24.2%

BTTS 60.3% 73.5% 1.36 -18.0%

Home O1.5 37.1% 54.1% 1.85 -31.4%

Away O1.5 48.5% 55.9% 1.79 -13.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.3%

A 46% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 0–2 7.5%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Västra Frölunda1.3

Landvetter IS1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VÄSTRA FRÖLUNDA · PPG 1.78

LANDVETTER IS · PPG 2.12

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Västra Frölunda (H) 29.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -16.6%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -6.1%

Landvetter IS (A) 46.0%

ODDS 2.32 · IMPLIED 43.1% EV +6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Västra Frölunda face Landvetter IS in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Västra Frölunda a 30% chance, the draw 25% and Landvetter IS 46%, so Landvetter IS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Västra Frölunda and 1.7 for Landvetter IS (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Västra Frölunda are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 2.12 for Landvetter IS. This match finished 1-0.

Västra Frölunda vs Landvetter IS Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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