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Hestrafor vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Hestrafor

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Torslanda

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.7%0-23.0%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.9%1-18.0%1-26.5%1-33.5%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.8%3-16.2%3-25.0%3-32.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.4%4+-24.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.5% 42.6% 2.35 +11.6%

Draw 22.6% 28.6% 3.50 -12.5%

Away win 29.9% 42.6% 2.35 -17.8%

Over 2.5 68.2% 73.0% 1.37 -6.6%

Over 3.5 48.2% 52.1% 1.92 -7.5%

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 61.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.1%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 6.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1✓ 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hestrafor2.1

Torslanda1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HESTRAFOR · PPG 1.62

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hestrafor (H) 47.5%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +11.6%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.5%

Torslanda (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hestrafor face Torslanda in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hestrafor a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Torslanda 30%, so Hestrafor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Hestrafor and 1.6 for Torslanda (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hestrafor are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.22 for Torslanda. This match finished 3-1.

Hestrafor vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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