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Böljan vs Qviding FIF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Böljan

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Qviding FIF

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-15.6%0-24.3%0-32.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.5%1-110.0%1-27.6%1-33.9%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.8%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.4%3-15.2%3-24.0%3-32.0%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.5%4+-22.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% 39.2% 2.55 +5.8%

Draw 23.2% 26.2% 3.82 -6.8%

Away win 35.3% 45.9% 2.18 -23.1%

Over 2.5 62.0% 78.1% 1.28 -20.6%

Over 3.5 39.3% 54.6% 1.83 -28.1%

BTTS 60.8% 78.1% 1.28 -22.2%

Home O1.5 48.9% 57.5% 1.74 -14.9%

Away O1.5 47.9% 62.1% 1.61 -22.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.8%

H 42% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Böljan1.8

Qviding FIF1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BÖLJAN · PPG 1.62

QVIDING FIF · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Böljan (H) 41.5%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +5.8%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 3.82 · IMPLIED 26.2% EV -6.8%

Qviding FIF (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Böljan face Qviding FIF in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Böljan a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Qviding FIF 35%, so Böljan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Böljan and 1.5 for Qviding FIF (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Böljan are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.22 for Qviding FIF. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 5-0.

Böljan vs Qviding FIF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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