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E. Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Apertura - 16 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 22:15

E. Rio Cuarto

PPG 0.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Rosario Central

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.5%0-123.2%0-211.4%0-33.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.8%1-110.7%1-25.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-02.5%2-12.5%2-21.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.4%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.9% 24.4% 4.10 -30.7%

Draw 35.4% 32.8% 3.05 +8.0%

Away win 47.7% 50.0% 2.00 -4.6%

Over 2.5 17.9% 37.0% 2.70 -51.7%

Over 3.5 6.0% 18.2% 5.50 -67.0%

BTTS 23.2% 44.4% 2.25 -47.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -39.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob23.2%

A 48% / xG 0.5-1.0 / U2.5 18% / NoBTTS 23%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.5%

#2 0–1 23.2%

#3 0–2 11.4%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 1–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Rio Cuarto0.5

Rosario Central1.0

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 17.9% · O3.5 PROB 6.0%

Form & verdict PPG

E. RIO CUARTO · PPG 0.67

ROSARIO CENTRAL · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

E. Rio Cuarto (H) 16.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -30.7%

Draw 35.4%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +8.0%

Rosario Central (A) 47.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Rio Cuarto face Rosario Central in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Rio Cuarto a 17% chance, the draw 35% and Rosario Central 48%, so Rosario Central are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for E. Rio Cuarto and 1.0 for Rosario Central (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 18% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 23% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Rio Cuarto are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.57 for Rosario Central. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.0%. This match finished 1-2.

E. Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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