Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Chile - Primera División Regular Season - 11 Municipal Nicolas Chahuan· La Calera Friday, April 24, 2026 22:00

Union La Calera PPG 2.00

1-2 MISS

Coquimbo Unido PPG 1.50

Home· +78.9% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Union La Calera face Coquimbo Unido in Chile - Primera División on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union La Calera a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Coquimbo Unido 21%, so Union La Calera are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Union La Calera and 1.1 for Coquimbo Unido (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union La Calera are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Coquimbo Unido. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +78.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +78.9%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -32.4%

Away 20.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -53.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: 2.20 +27.6%

Over 3.5 35.6% Odds: 4.20 +49.5%

BTTS 56.3% Odds: 1.85 +4.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Union La Calera

1.94

Coquimbo Unido

1.07

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +27.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 4.9%

Bet Hit 54% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)