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MyPa vs Reipas Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 15:30

MyPa

PPG 0.89 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWW

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Reipas

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 64% chance

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.3%0-25.6%0-33.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-05.5%1-19.8%1-28.7%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.7%2-26.8%2-34.0%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.3%3-14.0%3-23.6%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.2%4+-22.0%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.2% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 46.5% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 31.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MyPa1.6

Reipas1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MYPA · PPG 0.89

REIPAS · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

64%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

MyPa (H) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reipas (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MyPa face Reipas in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MyPa a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Reipas 41%, so Reipas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for MyPa and 1.8 for Reipas (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MyPa are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 0.33 for Reipas. This match finished 5-1.

MyPa vs Reipas Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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