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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 vs Al Wasl U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:55

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

4 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Wasl U23

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.2%0-24.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.7%1-111.4%1-27.5%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.1%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.6%3-14.8%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.7%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 33.3% 3.00 +32.9%

Draw 26.6% 27.0% 3.70 -0.9%

Away win 29.0% 51.3% 1.95 -26.1%

Over 2.5 53.4% 61.7% 1.62 -13.5%

Over 3.5 31.5% 40.7% 2.46 -22.5%

BTTS 54.3% 66.2% 1.51 -18.0%

Home O1.5 47.6% 42.6% 2.35 +11.9%

Away O1.5 40.9% 54.9% 1.82 -25.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.3%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 8.7%

#4 1–2 7.5%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U231.6

Al Wasl U231.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SHABAB AL-AHLI DUBAI U23 · PPG 1.52

AL WASL U23 · PPG 1.35

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 (H) 44.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +32.9%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -0.9%

Al Wasl U23 (A) 29.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -26.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 face Al Wasl U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Al Wasl U23 29%, so Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 and 1.3 for Al Wasl U23 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.35 for Al Wasl U23. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +16.0%. This match finished 4-4.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 vs Al Wasl U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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