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Tanta SC vs Masar Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 13:30

Tanta SC

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

UPCOMING

Masar

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-114.2%0-28.6%0-33.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.1%2-16.2%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.6%3-11.9%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.2% 32.3% 3.10 -7.5%

Draw 27.8% 38.2% 2.62 -16.3%

Away win 44.1% 41.7% 2.40 +5.8%

Over 2.5 42.7% 38.2% 2.62 +11.9%

Over 3.5 21.7% 19.6% 5.10 +6.4%

BTTS 48.0% 44.4% 2.25 +8.0%

Home O1.5 30.8% 23.5% 4.25 +30.9%

Away O1.5 36.8% 37.3% 2.68 -1.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.0%

A 44% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.2%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tanta SC0.9

Masar1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TANTA SC · PPG 1.42

MASAR · PPG 2.12

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 2.15 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tanta SC (H) 28.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.5%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -16.3%

Masar (A) 44.1%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tanta SC face Masar in Egypt - Second League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tanta SC a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Masar 44%, so Masar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tanta SC and 1.2 for Masar (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tanta SC are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 2.12 for Masar. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +30.9%.

Tanta SC vs Masar Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Second League Predictions