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Tersana vs La Viena FC Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 13:30

Tersana logo
Tersana
PPG 1.48 · HOME
LAST 5
WD ···
0 – 0
FULL TIME
La Viena FC logo
La Viena FC
PPG 1.52 · AWAY
LAST 5
DD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-114.6%0-25.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.4%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.4%2-15.9%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.2%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.3% 34.5% 2.90 +5.3%
Draw 34.7% 40.0% 2.50 -13.3%
Away win 29.1% 38.2% 2.62 -14.2%
Over 2.5 34.2% 33.3% 3.00 +2.6%
Over 3.5 17.8% 14.7% 6.80 +12.6%
BTTS 42.6% 43.5% 2.30 -2.0%
Home O1.5 30.9% 25.6% 3.90 +20.5%
Away O1.5 23.5% 27.9% 3.58 -9.5%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 86%
Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob42.6%

D 35% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%
#2 1–0 16.4%
#3 1–1 13.2%
#4 0–1 14.6%
#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tersana0.9
La Viena FC0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TERSANA · PPG 1.48

LA VIENA FC · PPG 1.52

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected
65%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.10, combined xG 1.70 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tersana (H) 36.3%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +5.3%
Draw 34.7%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -13.3%
La Viena FC (A) 29.1%
ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tersana face La Viena FC in Egypt - Second League on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tersana a 36% chance, the draw 35% and La Viena FC 29%, so Tersana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tersana and 0.8 for La Viena FC (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tersana are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.52 for La Viena FC. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +20.5%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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