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Dayrout vs Itesalat Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 13:30

Dayrout

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Itesalat

PPG 1.16 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-113.6%0-26.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.9%1-113.5%1-26.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.9%2-16.7%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.2%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% 29.4% 3.40 +16.6%

Draw 30.3% 35.7% 2.80 -15.2%

Away win 35.4% 47.6% 2.10 -25.7%

Over 2.5 41.0% 33.3% 3.00 +23.0%

Over 3.5 20.9% 17.4% 5.75 +12.1%

BTTS 48.0% 43.7% 2.29 +9.9%

Home O1.5 30.8% 23.3% 4.30 +32.4%

Away O1.5 27.1% 34.2% 2.92 -12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 13.6%

#4 1–0 13.9%

#5 0–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dayrout1.0

Itesalat1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DAYROUT · PPG 1.27

ITESALAT · PPG 1.16

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 1.96 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dayrout (H) 34.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +16.6%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.2%

Itesalat (A) 35.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -25.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dayrout face Itesalat in Egypt - Second League on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dayrout a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Itesalat 35%, so Itesalat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dayrout and 1.0 for Itesalat (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dayrout are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.16 for Itesalat. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +32.4%.

Dayrout vs Itesalat Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Second League Predictions