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Masar vs Dayrout Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 13:30

Masar

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Dayrout

PPG 0.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-16.6%0-22.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.8%1-110.8%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.8%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.5%3-14.8%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-12.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.7% 61.7% 1.62 -8.2%

Draw 27.1% 32.3% 3.10 -9.6%

Away win 16.2% 17.2% 5.80 -3.6%

Over 2.5 43.1% 42.0% 2.38 +2.6%

Over 3.5 25.1% 23.1% 4.33 +5.2%

BTTS 43.7% 43.5% 2.30 +0.5%

Home O1.5 48.9% 50.8% 1.97 -3.7%

Away O1.5 17.4% 17.1% 5.85 +1.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob43.7%

H 57% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.8%

#2 2–0 13.7%

#3 1–1 10.8%

#4 0–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Masar1.6

Dayrout0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MASAR · PPG 1.21

DAYROUT · PPG 0.99

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.99 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Masar (H) 56.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -8.2%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -9.6%

Dayrout (A) 16.2%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV -3.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Masar face Dayrout in Egypt - Second League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Masar a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Dayrout 16%, so Masar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Masar and 0.6 for Dayrout (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Masar are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.99 for Dayrout. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.2%. This match finished 4-0.

Masar vs Dayrout Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Second League Predictions