Today / Egypt - Second League / El Mansura vs Kahraba Ismailia
El Mansura vs Kahraba Ismailia Prediction— Egypt - Second League
Matchday 3 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 13:30
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 31% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%
Form & verdict
EL MANSURA · PPG 1.61
KAHRABA ISMAILIA · PPG 1.42
xG gap +0.11, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
El Mansura face Kahraba Ismailia in Egypt - Second League on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Mansura a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Kahraba Ismailia 34%, so El Mansura are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for El Mansura and 0.9 for Kahraba Ismailia (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Mansura are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.42 for Kahraba Ismailia. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.8%.