Today / Egypt - Second League / El Seka El Hadid vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

El Seka El Hadid vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 13:30

El Seka El Hadid logo
El Seka El Hadid
PPG 1.08 · HOME
LAST 5
LW ···
VS
UPCOMING
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat logo
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
PPG 1.58 · AWAY
LAST 5
WD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-114.7%0-26.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.5%1-113.3%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.0%2-16.0%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.2% 34.5% 2.90 +5.0%
Draw 32.5% 40.8% 2.45 -20.4%
Away win 31.3% 36.4% 2.75 -13.9%
Over 2.5 34.6% 28.6% 3.50 +21.1%
Over 3.5 18.2% 13.7% 7.30 +19.7%
BTTS 42.4% 40.0% 2.50 +6.0%
Home O1.5 30.8% 24.1% 4.15 +27.8%
Away O1.5 24.6% 26.7% 3.75 -4.7%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 86%
Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob42.4%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.2%
#2 1–0 15.5%
#3 1–1 13.3%
#4 0–1 14.7%
#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

El Seka El Hadid0.9
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EL SEKA EL HADID · PPG 1.08

MALEYET KAFR EL ZAYIAT · PPG 1.58

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected
65%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.04, combined xG 1.76 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

El Seka El Hadid (H) 36.2%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +5.0%
Draw 32.5%
ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -20.4%
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat (A) 31.3%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

El Seka El Hadid face Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat in Egypt - Second League on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Seka El Hadid a 36% chance, the draw 33% and Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 31%, so El Seka El Hadid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for El Seka El Hadid and 0.9 for Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Seka El Hadid are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.58 for Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.8%.

PredictVantage

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