Today / Egypt - Second League / Proxy vs Tersana

Proxy vs Tersana Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 13:30

Proxy

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Tersana

PPG 1.41 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.8%0-115.2%0-26.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.8%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.5%2-15.9%2-22.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.9%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 34.5% 2.90 -10.1%

Draw 32.5% 40.0% 2.50 -18.8%

Away win 36.5% 38.2% 2.62 -4.4%

Over 2.5 34.6% 38.2% 2.62 -9.3%

Over 3.5 18.2% 18.0% 5.55 +0.6%

BTTS 42.4% 42.0% 2.38 +0.9%

Home O1.5 30.8% 28.6% 3.50 +7.8%

Away O1.5 26.0% 29.9% 3.34 -7.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob42.4%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.8%

#2 0–1 15.2%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 1–0 14.8%

#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Proxy0.9

Tersana0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PROXY · PPG 1.36

TERSANA · PPG 1.41

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.02, combined xG 1.78 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Proxy (H) 31.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.1%

Draw 32.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -18.8%

Tersana (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -4.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Proxy face Tersana in Egypt - Second League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Proxy a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Tersana 37%, so Tersana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Proxy and 0.9 for Tersana (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Proxy are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.41 for Tersana. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.8%.

Proxy vs Tersana Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Second League Predictions