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Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 13:30

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LD ···

0 – 0

FULL TIME

El Dakhleya

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-112.4%0-25.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.5%1-113.4%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.3%2-17.2%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.0%3-12.6%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 44.4% 2.25 -18.6%

Draw 34.1% 38.2% 2.62 -10.7%

Away win 29.7% 29.4% 3.40 +0.6%

Over 2.5 37.1% 36.4% 2.75 +2.0%

Over 3.5 18.0% 18.0% 5.55 -0.1%

BTTS 43.7% 43.5% 2.30 +0.5%

Home O1.5 30.9% 35.2% 2.84 -12.2%

Away O1.5 24.6% 23.3% 4.30 +3.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.7%

D 34% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0 15.5%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla1.1

El Dakhleya0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BALADIYYAT AL MEHALLA · PPG 1.36

EL DAKHLEYA · PPG 1.36

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.21, combined xG 1.94 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (H) 36.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -18.6%

Draw 34.1%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -10.7%

El Dakhleya (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +0.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla face El Dakhleya in Egypt - Second League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baladiyyat Al Mehalla a 36% chance, the draw 34% and El Dakhleya 30%, so Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and 0.9 for El Dakhleya (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.36 for El Dakhleya. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Second League Predictions