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Haras El Hodood vs El Entag EL Harby Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 13:30

Haras El Hodood

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

UPCOMING

El Entag EL Harby

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.6%0-110.6%0-24.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.5%1-112.9%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-17.8%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.2%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% 57.8% 1.73 -22.3%

Draw 31.5% 31.3% 3.20 +0.8%

Away win 23.6% 22.2% 4.50 +3.7%

Over 2.5 38.8% 42.0% 2.38 -7.7%

Over 3.5 19.3% 21.5% 4.65 -6.2%

BTTS 43.9% 45.5% 2.20 -3.4%

Home O1.5 33.3% 45.5% 2.20 -26.7%

Away O1.5 22.2% 20.2% 4.95 +5.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.9%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.5%

#2 0–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haras El Hodood1.2

El Entag EL Harby0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HARAS EL HODOOD · PPG 1.75

EL ENTAG EL HARBY · PPG 1.37

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.44, combined xG 2.00 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Haras El Hodood (H) 44.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -22.3%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.8%

El Entag EL Harby (A) 23.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haras El Hodood face El Entag EL Harby in Egypt - Second League on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 45% chance, the draw 32% and El Entag EL Harby 24%, so Haras El Hodood are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Haras El Hodood and 0.8 for El Entag EL Harby (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.37 for El Entag EL Harby. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +24.6%.

Haras El Hodood vs El Entag EL Harby Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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