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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 34 Stadium of Light· Sunderland Friday, April 24, 2026 19:00
Sunderland logo Sunderland PPG 1.81
0-5 MISS
Nottm Forest logo Nottm Forest PPG 1.13
Home· +37.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.1%
Odds: 2.64 EV: +37.5%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -13.6%
Away 20.8%
Odds: 2.64 EV: -45.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.5% Odds: 2.10 -19.1%
Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 3.85 -28.4%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 1.83 -23.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sunderland
1.43
Nottm Forest
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home +37.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

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