Today / Colombia - Liga Femenina / Internacional Palmira W vs Millonarios W

Internacional Palmira W vs Millonarios W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 4 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 20:00

Internacional Palmira W logo
Internacional Palmira W
PPG 1.67 · HOME
LAST 5
WWLLD
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Millonarios W logo
Millonarios W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY
LAST 5
WDWWD

// Model verdict

Away 50% chance

xG gap -0.64 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-116.1%0-211.3%0-35.3%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.7%1-112.3%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-03.3%2-14.7%2-23.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 23.5%
Draw 26.1%
Away win 50.4%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Over 3.5 27.6%
BTTS 48.6%
Home O1.5 30.8%
Away O1.5 42.2%

League track record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 48%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.1%
#2 1–1 12.3%
#3 0–2 11.3%
#4 0–0 11.4%
#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional Palmira W0.8
Millonarios W1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA W · PPG 1.67

MILLONARIOS W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
50%
DANGER

xG gap -0.64 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Internacional Palmira W (H) 23.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Millonarios W (A) 50.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional Palmira W face Millonarios W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional Palmira W a 24% chance, the draw 26% and Millonarios W 50%, so Millonarios W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Internacional Palmira W and 1.4 for Millonarios W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional Palmira W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.00 for Millonarios W. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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