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Atlantis vs PEPO Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 15:15

Atlantis

PPG 2.10 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

PEPO

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 77% chance

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.8%0-21.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-02.8%1-15.1%1-24.7%1-32.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.8%2-17.0%2-26.5%2-34.0%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.5%3-16.5%3-26.0%3-33.7%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-18.8%4+-28.1%4+-35.0%4+-4+3.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% — — —

Draw 19.0% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 77.4% — — —

Over 3.5 56.6% — — —

BTTS 69.7% — — —

Home O1.5 66.5% — — —

Away O1.5 57.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 31.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.0%

#2 2–2 6.5%

#3 3–1 6.5%

#4 1–1 5.1%

#5 1–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlantis2.8

PEPO1.8

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.4% · O3.5 PROB 56.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLANTIS · PPG 2.10

PEPO · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

77%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlantis (H) 52.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PEPO (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlantis face PEPO in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlantis a 52% chance, the draw 19% and PEPO 29%, so Atlantis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Atlantis and 1.8 for PEPO (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlantis are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.56 for PEPO. This match finished 0-0.

Atlantis vs PEPO Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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