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Dayrout vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 13:30

Dayrout

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.2%0-114.9%0-25.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-113.0%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.3%2-15.7%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.7%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 36.4% 2.75 -1.0%

Draw 34.2% 40.0% 2.50 -14.5%

Away win 29.8% 35.7% 2.80 -9.9%

Over 2.5 34.5% 33.3% 3.00 +3.5%

Over 3.5 18.2% 15.9% 6.30 +8.8%

BTTS 43.6% 43.5% 2.30 +0.3%

Home O1.5 30.6% 28.6% 3.50 +7.1%

Away O1.5 19.4% 27.5% 3.64 -17.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.6%

D 34% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.2%

#2 1–0 16.7%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 1–1 13.0%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dayrout0.9

Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DAYROUT · PPG 1.52

MALEYET KAFR EL ZAYIAT · PPG 1.29

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.09, combined xG 1.65 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dayrout (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -1.0%

Draw 34.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.5%

Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat (A) 29.8%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dayrout face Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat in Egypt - Second League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dayrout a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 30%, so Dayrout are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dayrout and 0.8 for Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dayrout are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.29 for Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Dayrout vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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