Today / Egypt - Second League / El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana

El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana Prediction— Egypt - Second League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 13:30

El Seka El Hadid logo
El Seka El Hadid
PPG 1.29 · HOME
LAST 5
LW ···
0 – 1
FULL TIME
Tersana logo
Tersana
PPG 1.10 · AWAY
LAST 5
WD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-113.3%0-25.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.2%1-113.4%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.7%2-16.8%2-23.0%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.6%3-12.3%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.4% 40.8% 2.45 -5.9%
Draw 32.7% 38.2% 2.62 -14.3%
Away win 28.9% 32.3% 3.10 -6.3%
Over 2.5 38.0% 33.3% 3.00 +14.0%
Over 3.5 19.4% 16.9% 5.90 +8.7%
BTTS 47.6% 43.5% 2.30 +9.5%
Home O1.5 30.6% 31.1% 3.22 -1.5%
Away O1.5 22.8% 26.0% 3.85 -7.3%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 86%
Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

D 33% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.0%
#2 1–0 15.2%
#3 1–1 13.4%
#4 0–1 13.3%
#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

El Seka El Hadid1.0
Tersana0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EL SEKA EL HADID · PPG 1.29

TERSANA · PPG 1.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected
65%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.12, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

El Seka El Hadid (H) 38.4%
ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -5.9%
Draw 32.7%
ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -14.3%
Tersana (A) 28.9%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

El Seka El Hadid face Tersana in Egypt - Second League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Seka El Hadid a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Tersana 29%, so El Seka El Hadid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for El Seka El Hadid and 0.9 for Tersana (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Seka El Hadid are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.10 for Tersana. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 0-1.

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