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Yaracuyanos FC vs Urena SC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 26 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 20:00

Yaracuyanos FC

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Urena SC

PPG 2.27 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-113.1%0-26.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.1%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-17.0%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.3%3-12.4%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.1% 47.6% 2.10 -22.1%

Draw 32.5% 31.3% 3.20 +4.0%

Away win 30.4% 32.3% 3.10 -5.8%

Over 2.5 42.0% 48.8% 2.05 -13.9%

Over 3.5 20.9% 29.2% 3.42 -17.1%

BTTS 48.0% 56.8% 1.76 -15.5%

Home O1.5 30.8% 45.0% 2.22 -31.6%

Away O1.5 32.3% 35.2% 2.84 -8.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 10.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

D 32% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 0–1 13.1%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yaracuyanos FC1.0

Urena SC1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

YARACUYANOS FC · PPG 2.00

URENA SC · PPG 2.27

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.00, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yaracuyanos FC (H) 37.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -22.1%

Draw 32.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +4.0%

Urena SC (A) 30.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yaracuyanos FC face Urena SC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yaracuyanos FC a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Urena SC 30%, so Yaracuyanos FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Yaracuyanos FC and 1.0 for Urena SC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yaracuyanos FC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.27 for Urena SC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +8.0%.

Yaracuyanos FC vs Urena SC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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