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Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Petare FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 20:00

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Petare FC

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-113.1%0-24.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.5%1-112.7%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.0%2-16.2%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.9%3-12.0%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% 44.4% 2.25 -8.6%

Draw 32.2% 33.3% 3.00 -3.4%

Away win 27.2% 34.5% 2.90 -12.7%

Over 2.5 35.7% 38.2% 2.62 -6.5%

Over 3.5 18.2% — — —

BTTS 43.6% 45.0% 2.22 -3.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 10.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.6%

H 41% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–0 18.5%

#3 0–1 13.1%

#4 1–1 12.7%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz1.0

Petare FC0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO DE PUERTO LA CRUZ · PPG 2.00

PETARE FC · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.28, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz (H) 40.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -8.6%

Draw 32.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.4%

Petare FC (A) 27.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -12.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz face Petare FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz a 41% chance, the draw 32% and Petare FC 27%, so Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz and 0.7 for Petare FC (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Petare FC. This match finished 1-3.

Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Petare FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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