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Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Yaracuyanos FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 20:30

Fundación Lara Deportiva

PPG 2.30 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Yaracuyanos FC

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.5%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.6%1-111.3%1-25.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.8%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.8%3-15.6%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.6%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% 55.6% 1.80 -8.0%

Draw 24.0% 29.4% 3.40 -11.0%

Away win 24.9% 27.0% 3.70 -4.7%

Over 2.5 53.5% 54.1% 1.85 -1.0%

Over 3.5 32.0% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 27.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 10.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.3%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–0 10.0%

#3 1–0 11.6%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fundación Lara Deportiva1.7

Yaracuyanos FC1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FUNDACIÓN LARA DEPORTIVA · PPG 2.30

YARACUYANOS FC · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fundación Lara Deportiva (H) 51.1%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -8.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.0%

Yaracuyanos FC (A) 24.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fundación Lara Deportiva face Yaracuyanos FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fundación Lara Deportiva a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Yaracuyanos FC 25%, so Fundación Lara Deportiva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fundación Lara Deportiva and 1.0 for Yaracuyanos FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fundación Lara Deportiva are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.10 for Yaracuyanos FC. This match finished 0-0.

Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Yaracuyanos FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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