Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Match Preview & Prediction

Jagiellonia face Gornik Zabrze in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jagiellonia a 60% chance, the draw 21% and Gornik Zabrze 19%, so Jagiellonia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Jagiellonia and 1.0 for Gornik Zabrze (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jagiellonia are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.07 for Gornik Zabrze. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +36.9%. This match finished 1-2.