Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Hennef vs Frechen

Hennef vs Frechen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 24 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:00

Hennef

PPG 1.27 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Frechen

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-14.6%0-27.5%0-38.0%0-4+14.6%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.6%1-38.2%1-4+14.8%2 2-00.7%2-12.4%2-23.9%2-34.2%2-4+7.5%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-21.3%3-31.4%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 8.3% — — —

Draw 11.8% — — —

Away win 80.0% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 61.2% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob61.3%

A 80% / xG 1.0-3.2 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 8.2%

#2 0–3 8.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 0–2 7.5%

#5 1–4 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hennef1.0

Frechen3.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 61.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HENNEF · PPG 1.27

FRECHEN · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Hennef (H) 8.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Frechen (A) 80.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hennef face Frechen in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hennef a 8% chance, the draw 12% and Frechen 80%, so Frechen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Hennef and 3.2 for Frechen (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hennef are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.83 for Frechen. This match finished 6-0.

Hennef vs Frechen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein Predictions