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Bjørkelangen vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Bjørkelangen

PPG 0.43 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Oppsal

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 66.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-19.0%0-211.0%0-39.0%0-4+10.0%1 1-03.1%1-17.6%1-29.4%1-37.7%1-4+8.5%2 2-01.3%2-13.3%2-24.0%2-33.3%2-4+3.6%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.1%3-30.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% 21.1% 4.75 -22.4%

Draw 20.7% 21.1% 4.75 -1.0%

Away win 66.2% 69.4% 1.44 -4.7%

Over 2.5 63.4% 78.1% 1.28 -18.9%

Over 3.5 39.5% 58.5% 1.71 -32.5%

BTTS 54.6% 74.1% 1.35 -26.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 43.5% 2.30 -26.2%

Away O1.5 65.0% 78.1% 1.28 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob54.6%

A 66% / xG 0.9-2.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–3 9.0%

#4 1–1 7.6%

#5 0–1✓ 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bjørkelangen0.9

Oppsal2.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BJØRKELANGEN · PPG 0.43

OPPSAL · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.61 for Away, form 0.43 vs 1.33

Win probability 1X2

Bjørkelangen (H) 13.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -22.4%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -1.0%

Oppsal (A) 66.2%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bjørkelangen face Oppsal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bjørkelangen a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Oppsal 66%, so Oppsal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Bjørkelangen and 2.5 for Oppsal (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bjørkelangen are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.33 for Oppsal. This match finished 0-1.

Bjørkelangen vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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