Today / Colombia - Liga Femenina / La Equidad W vs Atlético Nacional W

La Equidad W vs Atlético Nacional W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Promotion Group · Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 20:00

La Equidad W logo
La Equidad W
PPG 2.44 · HOME
LAST 5
WDWLL
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Atlético Nacional W logo
Atlético Nacional W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-19.6%0-25.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.7%1-112.9%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-18.6%2-24.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.5%3-13.8%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.6%
Draw 26.1%
Away win 29.3%
Over 2.5 52.9%
Over 3.5 31.6%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5 39.2%
Away O1.5 33.2%

League track record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 48%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 1–0 11.7%
#3 2–1 8.6%
#4 0–0 8.7%
#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

La Equidad W1.3
Atlético Nacional W1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LA EQUIDAD W · PPG 2.44

ATLÉTICO NACIONAL W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
Chance this pick lands
55%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

La Equidad W (H) 44.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Atlético Nacional W (A) 29.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

La Equidad W face Atlético Nacional W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives La Equidad W a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Atlético Nacional W 29%, so La Equidad W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for La Equidad W and 1.1 for Atlético Nacional W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, La Equidad W are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 2.00 for Atlético Nacional W. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org