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Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:00

Vora logo
Vora
PPG 1.43 · HOME
LAST 5
WL ···
1 – 3
FULL TIME
Egnatia Rrogozhinë logo
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
PPG 1.53 · AWAY
LAST 5
WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-19.1%0-25.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.4%1-112.7%1-27.0%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.9%2-18.8%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.7%3-14.1%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.6%
Draw 30.1%
Away win 30.3%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 49.9%
Home O1.5 39.7%
Away O1.5 33.2%

League track record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5 45%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–0 8.2%
#3 1–0 11.4%
#4 2–1 8.8%
#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vora1.4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VORA · PPG 1.43

EGNATIA RROGOZHINË · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vora (H) 39.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Egnatia Rrogozhinë (A) 30.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vora face Egnatia Rrogozhinë in Albania - Superliga on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vora a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%, so Vora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vora and 1.1 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vora are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.53 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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