Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Viking II vs Mandalskameratene

Viking II vs Mandalskameratene Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:00

Viking II

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mandalskameratene

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.2%0-20.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-02.5%1-13.9%1-23.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.1%2-16.5%2-25.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.5%3-17.2%3-25.7%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-113.7%4+-210.9%4+-35.8%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.9% — — —

Draw 16.3% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 77.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.0% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob70.3%

H 63% / xG 3.3-1.6 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.2%

#2 2–1 6.5%

#3 4–1 5.9%

#4 3–2 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viking II3.3

Mandalskameratene1.6

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKING II · PPG 2.67

MANDALSKAMERATENE · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.72 for Home, form 2.67 vs 1.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Viking II (H) 62.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mandalskameratene (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viking II face Mandalskameratene in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viking II a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Mandalskameratene 21%, so Viking II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Viking II and 1.6 for Mandalskameratene (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viking II are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Mandalskameratene.

Viking II vs Mandalskameratene Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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