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Raelingen vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:30

Raelingen

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Oppsal

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.4%0-24.1%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.4%1-19.8%1-27.5%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.5%3-15.4%3-24.1%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.7%4+-22.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 29.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 50.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 5.8%

#5 2–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raelingen1.8

Oppsal1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RAELINGEN · PPG 1.88

OPPSAL · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Raelingen (H) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oppsal (A) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Raelingen face Oppsal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raelingen a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Oppsal 30%, so Raelingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Raelingen and 1.5 for Oppsal (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raelingen are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.57 for Oppsal. This match finished 1-0.

Raelingen vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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