Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Drøbak / Frogn vs Fram

Drøbak / Frogn vs Fram Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Drøbak / Frogn

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLL

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fram

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.0%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.0%1-17.5%1-23.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-19.4%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.4%3-17.9%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-19.0%4+-24.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.6% — — —

Draw 19.3% — — —

Away win 21.2% — — —

Over 2.5 65.0% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.4%

#4 3–0 8.4%

#5 1–2 3.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Drøbak / Frogn2.5

Fram0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DRØBAK / FROGN · PPG 1.86

FRAM · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.57 for Home, form 1.86 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Drøbak / Frogn (H) 59.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fram (A) 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Drøbak / Frogn face Fram in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Drøbak / Frogn a 60% chance, the draw 19% and Fram 21%, so Drøbak / Frogn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Drøbak / Frogn and 0.9 for Fram (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Drøbak / Frogn are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.75 for Fram. This match finished 3-4.

Drøbak / Frogn vs Fram Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions