Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Bjørkelangen vs Ørn Horten

Bjørkelangen vs Ørn Horten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Bjørkelangen

PPG 0.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Ørn Horten

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.19 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-111.0%0-211.3%0-37.8%0-4+6.5%1 1-04.6%1-19.5%1-29.9%1-36.8%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.0%2-14.2%2-24.3%2-33.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 64.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 57.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.3%

#2 1–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 0–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bjørkelangen0.9

Ørn Horten2.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BJØRKELANGEN · PPG 0.38

ØRN HORTEN · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.19 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Bjørkelangen (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ørn Horten (A) 64.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bjørkelangen face Ørn Horten in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bjørkelangen a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Ørn Horten 65%, so Ørn Horten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Bjørkelangen and 2.1 for Ørn Horten (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bjørkelangen are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 1.12 for Ørn Horten. This match finished 2-5.

Bjørkelangen vs Ørn Horten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions