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Al Jazira U23 vs Al Sharjah U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 14:00

Al Jazira U23

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

DDD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Al Sharjah U23

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.2%0-24.9%0-33.8%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.0%1-17.1%1-28.2%1-36.4%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-26.9%2-35.4%2-4+5.5%3 3-01.4%3-13.3%3-23.9%3-33.0%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% 33.3% 3.00 -8.0%

Draw 21.4% 27.0% 3.70 -12.5%

Away win 49.6% 51.3% 1.95 -3.3%

Over 2.5 65.1% 63.7% 1.57 +2.2%

Over 3.5 45.0% 43.7% 2.29 +3.0%

BTTS 63.1% 69.4% 1.44 -9.1%

Home O1.5 48.9% 45.5% 2.20 +7.6%

Away O1.5 67.8% 57.8% 1.73 +17.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.1%

A 50% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 2–1 5.9%

#5 1–3 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jazira U231.7

Al Sharjah U232.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAZIRA U23 · PPG 1.31

AL SHARJAH U23 · PPG 1.82

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Jazira U23 (H) 28.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.0%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -12.5%

Al Sharjah U23 (A) 49.6%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -3.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jazira U23 face Al Sharjah U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jazira U23 a 29% chance, the draw 21% and Al Sharjah U23 50%, so Al Sharjah U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Jazira U23 and 2.3 for Al Sharjah U23 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jazira U23 are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.82 for Al Sharjah U23. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +17.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Al Jazira U23 vs Al Sharjah U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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