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Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:00

Eyüpspor

PPG 1.04 · HOME

LAST 5

LLW ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Alanyaspor

PPG 1.05 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-110.9%0-26.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.9%1-113.2%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-18.0%2-24.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.9%3-13.2%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 31.7% 3.15 +10.3%

Draw 30.5% 30.3% 3.30 +0.7%

Away win 34.5% 45.0% 2.22 -23.4%

Over 2.5 44.0% 47.6% 2.10 -7.6%

Over 3.5 25.6% 26.3% 3.80 -1.6%

BTTS 47.2% 54.6% 1.83 -13.6%

Home O1.5 32.7% 33.9% 2.95 -3.5%

Away O1.5 33.0% 43.5% 2.30 -24.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.2%

D 30% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.8%

#3 0–1 10.9%

#4 1–0 11.9%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eyüpspor1.2

Alanyaspor1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EYÜPSPOR · PPG 1.04

ALANYASPOR · PPG 1.05

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.11, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eyüpspor (H) 35.0%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +10.3%

Draw 30.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +0.7%

Alanyaspor (A) 34.5%

ODDS 2.22 · IMPLIED 45.0% EV -23.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eyüpspor face Alanyaspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eyüpspor a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Alanyaspor 35%, so Eyüpspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Eyüpspor and 1.1 for Alanyaspor (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eyüpspor are averaging 1.04 points per game versus 1.05 for Alanyaspor. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +16.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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