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Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:30

Gaziantep FK

PPG 1.24 · HOME

LAST 5

DWL ··

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Rizespor

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-18.7%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.4%1-112.5%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.0%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.9%3-14.3%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 40.0% 2.50 +12.5%

Draw 27.4% 28.2% 3.55 -1.6%

Away win 27.6% 38.8% 2.58 -17.3%

Over 2.5 50.5% 55.6% 1.80 -9.1%

Over 3.5 28.7% 33.3% 3.00 -8.3%

BTTS 51.7% 61.7% 1.62 -16.3%

Home O1.5 40.1% 45.5% 2.20 -11.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 44.4% 2.25 -25.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.7%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gaziantep FK1.4

Rizespor1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GAZIANTEP FK · PPG 1.24

RIZESPOR · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gaziantep FK (H) 45.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +12.5%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -1.6%

Rizespor (A) 27.6%

ODDS 2.58 · IMPLIED 38.8% EV -17.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gaziantep FK face Rizespor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gaziantep FK a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Rizespor 28%, so Gaziantep FK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gaziantep FK and 1.1 for Rizespor (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gaziantep FK are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.38 for Rizespor. This match finished 1-2.

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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